Feed Accuracy scientific scoreboard

Per-source accuracy metrics over the last 30 days. Each row is a feed contributing into PHOENIX - either our own internal sub-detectors (green) or external comparators (blue). We classify every detection as a confirmed true-positive, a known false-positive, or unconfirmed, then compute precision. No feed is excluded - we hold ourselves to the same standard as every external source.
← Live map  ·  Confirmed wins  ·  FP catalog  ·  JSON

Definitions:
corroborated_tp — another source independently detected the same fire within 5 km / ±2 h
burn_verified_tp — Sentinel-2 burn-scar verification confirmed a real burn (dNBR > 0.27)
persistent_fp — detection landed inside a known persistent thermal anomaly (volcano, refinery, glasshouse, solar farm, quarry)
burn_disproven_fp — Sentinel-2 burn-scar verification confirmed NO real burn (dNBR < 0.10)
unconfirmed — no other source, no burn verification yet (pending - could become TP or FP)
sole_reporter — detection where NO other source flagged anything within 5 km / ±2 h (this feed's unique catches)
precision_% — TP ÷ (TP + FP). Unconfirmed not in denominator.
Source Total Corroborated TP Burn-verified TP Persistent FP Burn-disproven FP Unconfirmed Sole reporter Precision %